People in the West say that everything is clear to
them without any science - Russian troops have entered the territory of Ukraine and
it means that Russia is to blame for everything.
However, in 2003, American troops and their allies
entered Iraqi territory in violation of the UN Charter, but the Western public
does not believe that therefore the US and its allies were to blame for
everything. People in the West say that it is necessary to analyze the
situation which was in the world at that time.
Therefore, in this topic I propose to apply a scientific approach to Ukraine conflict, because such an approach can help to find ways to resolve this conflict.
First of all, it is necessary to clarify the goals i.e. the demands of the parties to the conflict.
In February 2022, Russian President V. Putin named the
following goals as the main ones of the Russian special military operation in
Ukraine:
- protection of residents of Donbass
- demilitarization of Ukraine
- denazification of this country
- bringing to justice those who committed numerous bloody crimes against civilians
see the official website of the President of Russia.
However, on the same day, President Biden explained
the goals of the above-mentioned Russian military operation as follows:
He (V. Putin) wants to, in fact, reestablish the former Soviet Union.
see the official website of the White House.
But since nobody is able to know phenomena which are
inside other people’s minds – able to know their thoughts, wishes etc. - this statement of
Mr. Biden is only an allegation.
And it is a wide-spread pattern of the so-called cognitive
distortions, which is called “Mind Reading”; see my article Patterns
of distortion in American statements about Ukrainian crisis.
We can refer only to goals, intentions, etc. which
have been voiced by a respective person. But V. Putin never spoke about
his desire “to reestablish the former Soviet Union”.
Ukraine's goals in this conflict are better known in
the West; see the official
website of the President of Ukraine. Therefore, I will
not repeat them.
After the goals of the parties to the conflict have been determined, it is necessary to determine the rules according to which this conflict should be resolved.
At the Summit on Peace in Ukraine the last month, the
US Vice President K. Harris declared:
We will continue to work toward a just and lasting peace, based on the principles of the United Nations Charter and the will of the people of Ukraine.
see the official website of the White House.
But - as it was stated above - in 2003 the US invaded
Iraq in violation of the UN Charter, and a few years earlier - also in
violation of the UN Charter - they performed bombing of Yugoslavia in order to
force the Yugoslav army and police to leave the Yugoslav province of Kosovo,
which declared its independence in February 2008. And the US recognized this independence the very next day.
Therefore, the UN Charter can no longer serve as a
basis for resolving any international conflicts.
It is necessary to discuss, develop and approve some
new rules for resolving the international conflicts.
And at the present time, the goals, that Russia and Ukraine
set for themselves, are fully incompatible.
For example, Russia demands the withdrawal of
Ukrainian troops from Donbass; see the official website of the President of Russia.
And Ukraine, in turn, demands the withdrawal of
Russian troops from there; see the official
website of the President of Ukraine.
Therefore, at present, any peaceful resolution of this
conflict does not seem possible to me. And it is impossible precisely because
of the past refusal of Western countries to comply with the rules for resolving the international
conflicts.
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